Description

This analysis provides a forecast of BCH prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-09-21 0.004442 0.004676 0.004917 0.005184 0.005471 0.005772 0.006111
2025-09-28 0.003922 0.004254 0.004609 0.005020 0.005484 0.005994 0.006599
2025-10-05 0.003694 0.004088 0.004523 0.005041 0.005646 0.006335 0.007186
2025-10-12 0.003548 0.003991 0.004492 0.005104 0.005839 0.006702 0.007806
2025-10-19 0.003376 0.003848 0.004391 0.005069 0.005902 0.006906 0.008228
2025-10-26 0.003235 0.003729 0.004307 0.005042 0.005965 0.007103 0.008643
2025-11-02 0.003105 0.003615 0.004221 0.005004 0.006005 0.007267 0.009017
2025-11-09 0.003051 0.003589 0.004238 0.005091 0.006204 0.007638 0.009682
2025-11-16 0.002944 0.003492 0.004160 0.005050 0.006231 0.007782 0.010042
2025-11-23 0.002861 0.003420 0.004110 0.005042 0.006297 0.007977 0.010481
2025-11-30 0.002756 0.003316 0.004013 0.004966 0.006268 0.008037 0.010726
2025-12-07 0.002663 0.003225 0.003930 0.004904 0.006251 0.008111 0.010991
2025-12-14 0.002600 0.003169 0.003892 0.004902 0.006319 0.008309 0.011458
2025-12-21 0.002481 0.003037 0.003749 0.004751 0.006171 0.008188 0.011428
2025-12-28 0.002435 0.003001 0.003731 0.004771 0.006265 0.008422 0.011965
2026-01-04 0.002407 0.002986 0.003741 0.004829 0.006415 0.008747 0.012667
2026-01-11 0.002348 0.002928 0.003689 0.004796 0.006430 0.008866 0.013039
2026-01-18 0.002295 0.002875 0.003644 0.004772 0.006454 0.008999 0.013441
2026-01-25 0.002240 0.002820 0.003593 0.004736 0.006460 0.009102 0.013796
2026-02-01 0.002229 0.002823 0.003621 0.004817 0.006645 0.009499 0.014694
2026-02-08 0.002178 0.002770 0.003571 0.004779 0.006645 0.009594 0.015056
2026-02-15 0.002140 0.002733 0.003542 0.004771 0.006690 0.009766 0.015570
2026-02-22 0.002083 0.002670 0.003473 0.004702 0.006635 0.009765 0.015758